An experiment with matching grants to Norwegian municipalities.
This paper
utilizes an experiment among Norwegian municipalities to investigate their
responsiveness to price changes. More specifically we estimate the effect on
the supply of child care from a change in central government grants. During the
four year period of 2000-2003, a group of 20 municipalities had most of their
matching grants from the central government turned into general grants. The
grant to child care was the economically most important of these grants, and we
explore the expected results theoretically through a two-period numerical model.
For the empirical analyses, the small sample of participating municipalities
and the method by which they were selected creates some challenges. Using a
matching procedure to select a suitable control group, we find that the
experiment municipalities on average did expand their child care sector less
than municipalities in the control group during the period. The difference
measured towards the end of the experiment was largely offset by a faster
expansion of child care supply in the experiment municipalities the first year after
the financing returned to normal. The resulting Marshallian own-price
elasticity comes out as inelastic, estimates ranging between -0.08 and -0.16,
and we discuss some factors regarding the political setting and the experiment
itself that may have contributed to such a small response to the quite large
change in relative prices.